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balance of probability

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释义
概然性权衡;可能性衡量
A legal standard, applied in many jurisdictions for deciding the outcome of civil disputes, which requires that a dispute be decided in favor of the party whose claims are more likely to be true.

例句
Watson: You think the murderer has the phone?
Holmes: Maybe she... left it when she left her case. Maybe he took it from her for some reason. Either way, the balance of probability is the murderer has her phone.(Sherlock)
华生:你认为凶手拿了手机?
福尔摩斯:也许是和箱子一起忘在车上的。也许是凶手出于某种目的故意带走的。总之,根据可能性衡量,凶手拿了她的手机。(神探夏洛克)